New York 2026 elections
Forecast for governor and 26 House races. Chances count wins in simulated elections. A forecast, not a result. Data as of Nov 1, 10:49 AM ET.
Governor
- New York governor · Kathy Hochul (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
House
- New York's 1st Congressional District · Nick LaLota (R) wins in 96 of 100 simulations.
- New York's 2nd Congressional District · Andrew Garbarino (R) wins in 99 of 100 simulations.
- New York's 3rd Congressional District · Tom Suozzi (D) wins in 93 of 100 simulations.
- New York's 4th Congressional District · Laura Gillen (D) wins in 97 of 100 simulations.
- New York's 5th Congressional District · Gregory Meeks (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- New York's 6th Congressional District · Grace Meng (D) wins in 99 of 100 simulations.
- New York's 7th Congressional District · Claire Valdez (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- New York's 8th Congressional District · Hakeem Jeffries (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- New York's 9th Congressional District · Yvette Clarke (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- New York's 10th Congressional District · Brad Lander (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- New York's 11th Congressional District · Nicole Malliotakis (R) wins in 99 of 100 simulations.
- New York's 12th Congressional District · Micah Lasher (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- New York's 13th Congressional District · Darializa Avila Chevalier (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- New York's 14th Congressional District · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- New York's 15th Congressional District · Ritchie Torres (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- New York's 16th Congressional District · George Latimer (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- New York's 17th Congressional District · Cait Conley (D) wins in 70 of 100 simulations.
- New York's 18th Congressional District · Pat Ryan (D) wins in 99 of 100 simulations.
- New York's 19th Congressional District · Josh Riley (D) wins in 99 of 100 simulations.
- New York's 20th Congressional District · Paul Tonko (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- New York's 21st Congressional District · Anthony Constantino (R) wins in 96 of 100 simulations.
- New York's 22nd Congressional District · John Mannion (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- New York's 23rd Congressional District · Nick Langworthy (R) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- New York's 24th Congressional District · Claudia Tenney (R) wins in 99 of 100 simulations.
- New York's 25th Congressional District · Joseph Morelle (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- New York's 26th Congressional District · Tim Kennedy (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.