Election night hub

Tuesday 3 November 2026. Tonight in one place: when polls close, the latest calls and MT26 updates, headlines, how to read the live estimates, and where to find official counts. MT26 is an amateur model, built with AI and not affiliated with any campaign, party or outlet. A live estimate is not a call, and a forecast is not a result.

This page is new and experimental. It reads the same data as the forecast page and changes nothing there.

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When polls close

Each key race shows its status on the forecast page as its polls close, then a live estimate where an official count reaches the model.

All polls closed (ET)	States	Senate and governor races	Close House races
7:00 PM	Georgia, Indiana (parts from 6:00 PM), Kentucky (parts from 6:00 PM), South Carolina, Vermont, Virginia	Georgia Senate, Georgia Governor, Kentucky Senate, South Carolina Senate, South Carolina Governor, Vermont Governor, Virginia Senate	7
7:30 PM	North Carolina, Ohio, West Virginia	North Carolina Senate, Ohio Senate (special), Ohio Governor, West Virginia Senate	10
8:00 PM	Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida (parts from 7:00 PM), Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Mississippi, Missouri, New Hampshire (parts from 7:00 PM), New Jersey, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Tennessee	Alabama Senate, Alabama Governor, Connecticut Governor, Delaware Senate, Florida Senate (special), Florida Governor, Illinois Senate, Illinois Governor, Maine Senate, Maine Governor, Maryland Governor, Massachusetts Senate, Massachusetts Governor, Mississippi Senate, New Hampshire Senate, New Hampshire Governor, New Jersey Senate, Oklahoma Senate, Oklahoma Governor, Pennsylvania Governor, Rhode Island Senate, Rhode Island Governor, Tennessee Senate, Tennessee Governor	19
8:30 PM	Arkansas	Arkansas Senate, Arkansas Governor	1
9:00 PM	Arizona, Colorado, Iowa, Kansas (parts from 8:00 PM), Louisiana, Michigan (parts from 8:00 PM), Minnesota, Nebraska, New Mexico, New York, South Dakota (parts from 8:00 PM), Texas (parts from 8:00 PM), Wisconsin, Wyoming	Arizona Governor, Colorado Senate, Colorado Governor, Iowa Senate, Iowa Governor, Kansas Senate, Kansas Governor, Louisiana Senate, Michigan Senate, Michigan Governor, Minnesota Senate, Minnesota Governor, Nebraska Senate, Nebraska Governor, New Mexico Senate, New Mexico Governor, New York Governor, South Dakota Senate, South Dakota Governor, Texas Senate, Texas Governor, Wisconsin Governor, Wyoming Senate, Wyoming Governor	31
10:00 PM	Montana, Nevada (parts from 9:00 PM), Utah	Montana Senate, Nevada Governor	5
11:00 PM	California, Idaho (parts from 10:00 PM), North Dakota (parts from 8:00 PM), Oregon (parts from 10:00 PM), Washington	California Governor, Idaho Senate, Idaho Governor, Oregon Senate, Oregon Governor	5
12:00 AM	Hawaii	Hawaii Governor	—
1:00 AM	Alaska (parts from 12:00 AM)	Alaska Senate, Alaska Governor	1

"Parts from" is when the first polls in that state close. Close House races are those the raters had at Likely or closer when the forecast was locked.

How to read MT26 tonight

Polls closed · No count here yet: the polls have closed, but no official count has reached the model.
Live estimate, not a call: the model's estimate from the official count so far. The first votes move the chances before they mean much, so don't read that first move as news.
Projected by this model: only at 99.9 in 100 with at least 60% of the expected vote counted, or 99 in 100 with at least 95%. Never in Maine's or Alaska's ranked-choice races.
Called · AP or Called · official results: a call entered by hand from AP or from official results, with its source.

The pre-election forecast was locked hours before the first state's polls closed, and it is graded in public: how it's graded.

Official counts by state

Each state's own election results page, where the count is official.

Watch and listen

Non-commercial live coverage:

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Election-night posts on other sites. MT26 doesn't check what is posted there.