Wisconsin 2026 elections
Forecast for governor and 8 House races. Chances count wins in simulated elections. A forecast, not a result. Data as of Nov 1, 10:49 AM ET.
Governor
- Wisconsin governor · David Crowley (D) wins in 88 of 100 simulations.
House
- Wisconsin's 1st Congressional District · Bryan Steil (R) wins in 74 of 100 simulations.
- Wisconsin's 2nd Congressional District · Mark Pocan (D) has no major-party opponent.
- Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District · Rebecca Cooke (D) wins in 74 of 100 simulations.
- Wisconsin's 4th Congressional District · Gwen Moore (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Wisconsin's 5th Congressional District · Scott Fitzgerald (R) wins in 99 of 100 simulations.
- Wisconsin's 6th Congressional District · Glenn Grothman (R) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District · Michael Alfonso (R) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Wisconsin's 8th Congressional District · Tony Wied (R) wins in 99 of 100 simulations.