Virginia 2026 elections
Forecast for Senate and 11 House races. Chances count wins in simulated elections. A forecast, not a result. Data as of Nov 1, 10:49 AM ET.
Senate
- Virginia Senate · Mark Warner (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
House
- Virginia's 1st Congressional District · Rob Wittman (R) wins in 53 of 100 simulations.
- Virginia's 2nd Congressional District · Elaine Luria (D) wins in 87 of 100 simulations.
- Virginia's 3rd Congressional District · Bobby Scott (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Virginia's 4th Congressional District · Jennifer McClellan (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Virginia's 5th Congressional District · John McGuire (R) wins in 89 of 100 simulations.
- Virginia's 6th Congressional District · Ben Cline (R) wins in 99 of 100 simulations.
- Virginia's 7th Congressional District · Eugene Vindman (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Virginia's 8th Congressional District · Don Beyer (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Virginia's 9th Congressional District · Morgan Griffith (R) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Virginia's 10th Congressional District · Suhas Subramanyam (D) wins in 99 of 100 simulations.
- Virginia's 11th Congressional District · James Walkinshaw (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.