Pennsylvania 2026 elections
Forecast for governor and 17 House races. Chances count wins in simulated elections. A forecast, not a result. Data as of Nov 1, 10:49 AM ET.
Governor
- Pennsylvania governor · Josh Shapiro (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
House
- Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District · Bob Harvie (D) wins in 66 of 100 simulations.
- Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District · Brendan Boyle (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District · Chris Rabb (D) has no major-party opponent.
- Pennsylvania's 4th Congressional District · Madeleine Dean (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District · Mary Gay Scanlon (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Pennsylvania's 6th Congressional District · Chrissy Houlahan (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District · Bob Brooks (D) wins in 84 of 100 simulations.
- Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District · Paige Cognetti (D) wins in 73 of 100 simulations.
- Pennsylvania's 9th Congressional District · Dan Meuser (R) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District · Janelle Stelson (D) wins in 79 of 100 simulations.
- Pennsylvania's 11th Congressional District · Lloyd Smucker (R) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District · Summer Lee (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District · John Joyce (R) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Pennsylvania's 14th Congressional District · Guy Reschenthaler (R) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Pennsylvania's 15th Congressional District · Glenn Thompson (R) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District · Mike Kelly (R) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Pennsylvania's 17th Congressional District · Chris Deluzio (D) wins in 99 of 100 simulations.