New Mexico 2026 elections
Forecast for Senate, governor and 3 House races. Chances count wins in simulated elections. A forecast, not a result. Data as of Nov 1, 10:49 AM ET.
Senate
- New Mexico Senate · Ben Ray Luján (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
Governor
- New Mexico governor · Deb Haaland (D) wins in 99 of 100 simulations.
House
- New Mexico's 1st Congressional District · Melanie Stansbury (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District · Gabe Vasquez (D) wins in 94 of 100 simulations.
- New Mexico's 3rd Congressional District · Teresa Leger Fernández (D) wins in 99 of 100 simulations.