New Jersey 2026 elections
Forecast for Senate and 12 House races. Chances count wins in simulated elections. A forecast, not a result. Data as of Nov 1, 10:49 AM ET.
Senate
- New Jersey Senate · Cory Booker (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
House
- New Jersey's 1st Congressional District · Donald Norcross (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- New Jersey's 2nd Congressional District · Jeff Van Drew (R) wins in 97 of 100 simulations.
- New Jersey's 3rd Congressional District · Herb Conaway (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- New Jersey's 4th Congressional District · Chris Smith (R) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- New Jersey's 5th Congressional District · Josh Gottheimer (D) wins in 98 of 100 simulations.
- New Jersey's 6th Congressional District · Frank Pallone (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- New Jersey's 7th Congressional District · Rebecca Bennett (D) wins in 85 of 100 simulations.
- New Jersey's 8th Congressional District · Rob Menendez (D) has no major-party opponent.
- New Jersey's 9th Congressional District · Nellie Pou (D) wins in 97 of 100 simulations.
- New Jersey's 10th Congressional District · LaMonica McIver (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- New Jersey's 11th Congressional District · Analilia Mejia (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- New Jersey's 12th Congressional District · Adam Hamawy (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.