North Carolina 2026 elections
Forecast for Senate and 14 House races. Chances count wins in simulated elections. A forecast, not a result. Data as of Nov 1, 10:49 AM ET.
Senate
- North Carolina Senate · Roy Cooper (D) wins in 98 of 100 simulations.
House
- North Carolina's 1st Congressional District · Don Davis (D) wins in 67 of 100 simulations.
- North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District · Deborah Ross (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District · Greg Murphy (R) wins in 97 of 100 simulations.
- North Carolina's 4th Congressional District · Valerie Foushee (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- North Carolina's 5th Congressional District · Virginia Foxx (R) wins in 99 of 100 simulations.
- North Carolina's 6th Congressional District · Addison McDowell (R) wins in 99 of 100 simulations.
- North Carolina's 7th Congressional District · David Rouzer (R) wins in 99 of 100 simulations.
- North Carolina's 8th Congressional District · Mark Harris (R) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- North Carolina's 9th Congressional District · Richard Hudson (R) wins in 98 of 100 simulations.
- North Carolina's 10th Congressional District · Pat Harrigan (R) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- North Carolina's 11th Congressional District · Jamie Ager (D) wins in 71 of 100 simulations.
- North Carolina's 12th Congressional District · Alma Adams (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- North Carolina's 13th Congressional District · Brad Knott (R) wins in 98 of 100 simulations.
- North Carolina's 14th Congressional District · Tim Moore (R) wins in 99 of 100 simulations.