Minnesota 2026 elections
Forecast for Senate, governor and 8 House races. Chances count wins in simulated elections. A forecast, not a result. Data as of Nov 1, 10:49 AM ET.
Senate
- Minnesota Senate · Peggy Flanagan (D) wins in 96 of 100 simulations.
Governor
- Minnesota governor · Amy Klobuchar (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
House
- Minnesota's 1st Congressional District · Brad Finstad (R) wins in 89 of 100 simulations.
- Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District · Matt Little (D) wins in 99 of 100 simulations.
- Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District · Kelly Morrison (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Minnesota's 4th Congressional District · Betty McCollum (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Minnesota's 5th Congressional District · Ilhan Omar (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Minnesota's 6th Congressional District · Tom Emmer (R) wins in 98 of 100 simulations.
- Minnesota's 7th Congressional District · Michelle Fischbach (R) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Minnesota's 8th Congressional District · Pete Stauber (R) wins in 99 of 100 simulations.