Michigan 2026 elections
Forecast for Senate, governor and 13 House races. Chances count wins in simulated elections. A forecast, not a result. Data as of Nov 1, 10:49 AM ET.
Senate
- Michigan Senate · Abdul El-Sayed (D) wins in 83 of 100 simulations.
Governor
- Michigan governor · Jocelyn Benson (D) wins in 97 of 100 simulations.
House
- Michigan's 1st Congressional District · Jack Bergman (R) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Michigan's 2nd Congressional District · John Moolenaar (R) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Michigan's 3rd Congressional District · Hillary Scholten (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Michigan's 4th Congressional District · Sean McCann (D) wins in 50 of 100 simulations.
- Michigan's 5th Congressional District · Tim Walberg (R) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Michigan's 6th Congressional District · Debbie Dingell (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Michigan's 7th Congressional District · William Lawrence (D) wins in 68 of 100 simulations.
- Michigan's 8th Congressional District · Kristen McDonald Rivet (D) wins in 99 of 100 simulations.
- Michigan's 9th Congressional District · Lisa McClain (R) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Michigan's 10th Congressional District · Christina Hines (D) wins in 56 of 100 simulations.
- Michigan's 11th Congressional District · Jeremy Moss (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Michigan's 12th Congressional District · Rashida Tlaib (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Michigan's 13th Congressional District · Donavan McKinney (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.