Maryland 2026 elections
Forecast for governor and 8 House races. Chances count wins in simulated elections. A forecast, not a result. Data as of Nov 1, 10:49 AM ET.
Governor
- Maryland governor · Wes Moore (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
House
- Maryland's 1st Congressional District · Andy Harris (R) wins in 99 of 100 simulations.
- Maryland's 2nd Congressional District · Johnny Olszewski (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Maryland's 3rd Congressional District · Sarah Elfreth (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Maryland's 4th Congressional District · Glenn Ivey (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Maryland's 5th Congressional District · Adrian Boafo (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Maryland's 6th Congressional District · April McClain Delaney (D) wins in 99 of 100 simulations.
- Maryland's 7th Congressional District · Kweisi Mfume (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Maryland's 8th Congressional District · Jamie Raskin (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.