Iowa 2026 elections
Forecast for Senate, governor and 4 House races. Chances count wins in simulated elections. A forecast, not a result. Data as of Nov 1, 10:49 AM ET.
Senate
- Iowa Senate · Ashley Hinson (R) wins in 56 of 100 simulations.
Governor
- Iowa governor · Rob Sand (D) wins in 92 of 100 simulations.
House
- Iowa's 1st Congressional District · Christina Bohannan (D) wins in 74 of 100 simulations.
- Iowa's 2nd Congressional District · Lindsay James (D) wins in 58 of 100 simulations.
- Iowa's 3rd Congressional District · Sarah Trone Garriott (D) wins in 80 of 100 simulations.
- Iowa's 4th Congressional District · Chris McGowan (R) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.