Hawaii 2026 elections
Forecast for governor and 2 House races. Chances count wins in simulated elections. A forecast, not a result. Data as of Nov 1, 10:49 AM ET.
Governor
- Hawaii governor · Josh Green (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
House
- Hawaii's 1st Congressional District · Ed Case (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.
- Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District · Jill Tokuda (D) wins in more than 99 of 100 simulations.